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Tuesday, 27 July 2010 16:25

The addiction to growth

Written by Rafe Mair

We humans, especially in the western world, have a commitment to growth which, if sustained, will have disastrous results.

In fact growth is a self fulfilling prophecy. For as fast as we expand to the outer limit, that outer limit is handled by developers demanding and getting more land to handle the growth, establishing yet another outer limit. That can't go on!

We seem to believe the old saw that if you don't continue growing you will go backwards into the maw of mediocrity. This mantra of "grow or perish" spurs municipal politicians - where the real action is - to attract more and more industry thus requiring more land for residences. Even when land is kept away from developers, existing apartment space will be forced to go higher.

Senior governments pitch in by building more highways and bridges which, when built, will attract more and more vehicles.

We promise that we'll stop using petroleum for fuel at the same time as we develop more and more dirty oil and build new pipelines to transport it.

More and more people, like me, write editorials and make speeches about all this "progress", more and more people agree and less and less is done about it.

The new economic powerhouses in the world, India and China, (the latter of which virtually owns the United States) will, as North America increasingly depends upon them for goods, demand and get the US and Canada to relax immigration laws - which we'll have no choice but to accept - and we'll build more residences and highways to accommodate them. Areas like the Downtown East Side in Vancouver will become more and more crowded creating an ever increasing demand for more social housing.

We're on a runaway train and don't know how to get off.

The trouble with BC and indeed the country as a whole is that, by international standards, we have plenty of space for more people to occupy even considering the weather factor as you get into northern regions.

How do we deal with this?

There us no magic bullet and people must start thinking - we all must realize that development has become a Ponzi scheme where we need new development to bring in new batches of capital with each new arrival resulting in another new batch able to come in, and on it goes.

It all starts at the municipal level and that's where we must make our concerns felt.

Last modified on Monday, 09 August 2010 09:32
Rafe Mair

Rafe Mair

Rafe Mair was a B.C. MLA 1975 to 1981, Minister of Environment from late 1978 through 1979. Since 1981 he has been a radio talk show host, and is recognized as one of B.C.'s pre-eminent journalists.

6 comments

  • Monday, 09 August 2010 23:05 posted by KWD

    Humanity has yet to come face to face with a population crash that other species on this planet have experienced. Those that have studied population dynamics can point to countless examples of populations that have hit the wall (the limits to growth), and they can explain what intrinsic and/or extrinsic factors where involved in precipitating the crash. It would be nice to think that we humans … the intelligent life on this planet … will find ways to prevent those intrinsic and extrinsic factors from controlling our numbers, in ways we can all agree on. Unfortunately it won’t happen. We will hit the wall, very soon and it won’t be pretty.

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  • Monday, 09 August 2010 23:05 posted by KWD

    Humanity has yet to come face to face with a population crash that other species on this planet have experienced. Those that have studied population dynamics can point to countless examples of populations that have hit the wall (the limits to growth), and they can explain what intrinsic and/or extrinsic factors where involved in precipitating the crash. It would be nice to think that we humans … the intelligent life on this planet … will find ways to prevent those intrinsic and extrinsic factors from controlling our numbers, in ways we can all agree on. Unfortunately it won’t happen. We will hit the wall, very soon and it won’t be pretty.

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  • Monday, 09 August 2010 23:05 posted by KWD

    Humanity has yet to come face to face with a population crash that other species on this planet have experienced. Those that have studied population dynamics can point to countless examples of populations that have hit the wall (the limits to growth), and they can explain what intrinsic and/or extrinsic factors where involved in precipitating the crash. It would be nice to think that we humans … the intelligent life on this planet … will find ways to prevent those intrinsic and extrinsic factors from controlling our numbers, in ways we can all agree on. Unfortunately it won’t happen. We will hit the wall, very soon and it won’t be pretty.

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  • Friday, 30 July 2010 16:35 posted by Urbanismo

    http://members.shaw.ca/urbanismo/thu.future/vancouver.failed.html

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  • Thursday, 29 July 2010 13:52 posted by John Fellowes

    We have a world monetary system whose very existence depends on growth or it will collapse. It is a debt based economy where money is created through debt. When you borrow money the banks punch that amount into a computer and the money it created. The same with credit cards. And most debt is created through land development, whether residential, commercial, or industrial. The only chance we have to save the planet is to change our current monetary system, created by those with the most money for the benefit of the same. John Fellowes 604 885 9591 jayfell@dccnet .com

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  • Tuesday, 27 July 2010 20:33 posted by MoS - The Disaffected Lib

    Rafe, the inescapable fact is that all mankind is utterly dependent on our planet's ability to supply renewable resources, freshwater first among those. Yet, since the late 1980's we've been drawing down those resources faster than earth can replenish them and the deficit is accelerating. Anyone who doubts that can simply look to rapidly emptying aquifers, the collapse of fisheries, global deforestation and spreading desertification as once arable farmland is worked to exhaustion. We now consume the planet's production of renewables by early October. We've pared that down by two full weeks in just three years. We are writing cheques our planet simply cannot cash. For two decades we've become increasingly dependent on consuming our seed corn. "Growth" is a concept of 19th century industrialization. That model is obsolete, dangerously outmoded. Once we reach 100%, further growth becomes a toxin.

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